In three years the index had declined from 35It research this is the project the envyNegative the price of wines by the glass 7 clNew forms of payment credit card InternetBut the hole of air in operating margin which is 11Some such as California are incompetent6 after fifteen years of R D and invested 27 millionRenewable energy have also the wind notes on several areasBut activity index of the Chicago Fed from 0This is the case of Dexia negotiates to 8Cruel fate for the 2009 promotion! Young graduates arriving this year on the job market were predicting a bright future by all omens of employment. In retirement departures related to the Granddad boom, explained, ensured them lasting favourable prospects. Worn by the appeal of air, is were classmates previous promotions they not bent easily, with wages of hired regularly on the rise Fatalitas! With the financial crisis, this idyllic scenario collapsed in a few months, and the cru 2009 must now make his hole in a rarely equalled malingering. A not only frustrating situation in the short term but which might weigh lastingly on their careers and their wages.
It is indeed one of the characteristics of the French labour market, and not the happiest: youth serve as an adjustment variable conditions. "When the economy is performing well, they are the main beneficiaries," explains Olivier Galland, sociologist and Director of research at CNRS (1). But the situation worsened, and they are now at Ringside. "In a year, the enrolment of less than 25 years at pole employment thus flew 32." Graduates are certainly not the most to be pitied. "The young school leavers of the school system without qualification remain the most distressed, said Julien Calmand, responsible for studies ranging." Whatever the situation, bac 4 or bac 5 remain at the beginning of the queue to use. "They are not to be spared, especially when the recession took new proportions, as this year."
Gripped by the crisis, companies that once urged on the campus have frozen their hiring plans. "We see many wait for potential recruiters", confirms Stéphane Cassereau, Director of the Ecole des mines of Nantes, whose previous promotion was placed without problem. While they employ less than executives, companies reduce even more the arrival of young recruits. "The part of those who are considering hiring young graduates declined from 37 to 30 in one year, details Pierre Lamblin, Director of studies and research in Apec." The majority of them believe that the economic situation does not allow them to integrate beginners with little experience and prefer them immediately operational frameworks. "
For many of those who come on the market this year, the scarcity of opportunities will result in a more or less long pole employment passage. With eight months of decline, the fate of the 2008 promotion allows to get an idea of the damage expected: according to the Afij, only 38 of young graduates last year were employed in early April. Yet few have benefited until September last in a benign market... For the lucky unearth a position, they would not escape with pay diet. "Pay to the hiring of young graduates increased significantly from 2004 to 2008, is Eric Wuithier, Associate Director of Towers Perrin, but the increases will be much more rare this year;" 17 of the companies we interviewed even announce that they will lower wages for beginners. "
In this table, some young people take probably dreaming of be born two years earlier! But the key is whether if these initial embarrassment represent only delay the ignition will be caught in time, or even if they affect sustainable careers and salaries. To do this, the investigations "Generation" of the ranging provide first answers elements. On several tens of thousands of individuals, they are studying the first professional steps in leavers of the school system a given year. Generations, 1998 (with a booming job market), 2001 (marked by the collapse of the dot-com bubble) and 2004 were spent in the screen. It was clear that after three years of active life, schools of commerce or engineering students came out in 2001 had an unemployment rate twice higher than those of the 1998 promotions and 2004. Really reassuring step...
Longer term, Julien Calmand is still optimistic: "bac 5 can see their employability delayed, but they will be the first to benefit from the upturn when it will be." The young graduates are certainly less to complain that their comrades without qualification. Unlike the latter, they will probably all employment in five or ten years. But it will match to their level of education and their initial ambitions Probably not, alas, for some of them.
Because in France, the essence of a career is played before the age of 30. A recognized degree is of course essential. But success his first professional steps are all also reveals crucial. "It's like a race, should be a good start, shows Christian Darantière, Managing Director of the Afij." Those who find themselves in tail of platoon from the outset have more difficulties to head. "Eric Wuithier confirms:" first "real" job, summer internship or food job, gives the tone of a career. According to the position, the undertaking, the salary of hiring, it is found on a more or less well-oriented path. And correct the shooting later may be difficult. "But the current recession complicates singularly this access to the first job." So could leave lasting stigma for the rest.
However, there is not inevitable. If the crisis represents a collective handicap, individually, interested parties may fully take the advantage of the game in the short or long term. This is what succeeded before them three "Veterans" met with issues (see opposite). They have in common that has been reached them also on the labour market under terrible conditions, during the recession of 1993, or at the time of the collapse of the dot-com bubble. In a few years, they were able to overcome the initial difficulties.
Imitate assumes to make good decisions in the coming months. As explains Olivier Galland, "the entry of young people in active life is now a period of transition made of trial and error, of various experiences, internships... making the trajectories towards much more uncertain than employment in the past." These are the choices made during this period that determine the speed and quality of professional insertion "." In a job market that bites the nose, these choices are more strategic yet.
In the doldrums, is it appropriate for example to extend his studies Everyone, of course, to be determined according to his personal curriculum. Stéphane Cassereau the discourages however to his students: "Stack formations may be counterproductive if it leads to a ultraspécialisation." As the net recovery of employment framework may have no place, according to Apec, before... 2012-13. Shift one year its arrival on the market would therefore not change much. But what then if the sent CV desperately remain unanswered Pierre Lamblin, is grieving, at least temporarily, of its initial ambitions. "In case of difficulties, communication or marketing, for example, include the first sacrificed budgets, he explains." Young graduates priests to these functions must therefore expand their research and look for opportunities where they are. "
Which means step rush on the first come post, especially if it is déqualifié. "If is provisionally accepted an assistant position in a service where you could apply as a framework, it may prove difficult to ironing board level above", prevents Christian Darantière. To wait, he advised instead to take a job, but unrelated to the curriculum: "It is easier to explain to a recruiter." Is then cross your fingers to find the right opportunity before mid-2010. It was while will arrive on the market the following promotion. "And as a rule generally prevents Christian Darantière, companies prefer the latter out..." "
(1) Author of the recent French young people have reason to be afraid, Armand Colin.